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Build Log · October 3, 2026

Four more economic bets

Four candidate transactions assassinated on evidence; one federal-contracts Actor live on Apify, three killed.

  • Experiments
  • Apify
  • Economic Bets
  • Research
  • SmithV2
candidate transactions assassinated to a decision
4

candidate transactions assassinated to a decision

Actor published and monetized (#4 federal opportunities)
1

Actor published and monetized (#4 federal opportunities)

candidates killed on Apify Store evidence (#2, #3, #5)
3

candidates killed on Apify Store evidence (#2, #3, #5)

unit tests, all passing
17

unit tests, all passing

opportunities returned / charged in the final platform billing check
3 / 3

opportunities returned / charged in the final platform billing check

Timeline

  1. Oct 3

    Charge + pre-build council

    Council (customer/competitor/operator) printed verbatim; Zeb locked the charge with 7 corrections (no pre-selection, no moat requirement, residue elevated)

  2. Oct 3

    #4 RFP finder SURVIVES

    ~35 SAM.gov Actors, thin demand (leader 23/30d); official daily extract is permitted, keyless, 8 s to parse; 30% of open notices are duplicate amendments

  3. Oct 3

    #2 and #3 KILLED

    Pricing monitors and tech-stack change monitors: months-old listings with 2-5 users ever

  4. Oct 3

    Build + independent audit

    Audit found a real double charge (hyphenated Sol#) and invented deadline times; both fixed and re-verified on 4,959 live rows

  5. Oct 3

    Publish

    apify push, Zeb priced and published; billing check caught the pre-filled default-item price again; fixed and re-checked

  6. Oct 3

    #5 reopened, then KILLED

    Store/MCP search is keyword-only and routes current-info questions to rag-web-browser; credible agent-positioned neighbors unadopted for 3-4 months

What shipped

  • experiments/economic-bets-2026-10/ASSASSINATIONS.md — decision record for candidates #2-#5 with Apify Store API evidence, rights, economics, residue, and the #5 re-review

  • experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/src/csv.js — streaming RFC-4180 CSV parser (quotes, embedded newlines, CRLF, chunk boundaries)

  • experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/src/opportunities.js — latest-notice-per-solicitation collapse (alphanumeric Sol# + agency, deterministic ties), conservative open/closed decision for all four real deadline shapes, keyword/NAICS/state/set-aside/recency filters, fixed output contract

  • experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/src/main.js — official SAM.gov extract download, freshness check (>72 h = free source_stale), header and malformed-row format checks, pay-per-event opportunity charging, free explanation rows, monetization self-check, RUN_SUMMARY

  • experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/test/ — 17 node:test tests including a real-header fixture captured 2026-10-03 and audit regressions

  • experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/.actor/ — actor.json, input/dataset/output schemas; README.md (Store listing); EXPERIMENT.md (measurement, kill date 2026-12-02, launch facts)

  • CLAUDE.md — experiments table row for experiments/federal-opportunities-actor/

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